Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.071878 0.080792 0.089943 0.100009 0.110743 0.121819 0.134082
2025-05-04 0.059039 0.072590 0.087231 0.104083 0.122808 0.142852 0.165803
2025-05-11 0.047915 0.063882 0.081920 0.103475 0.128218 0.155448 0.187398
2025-05-18 0.041528 0.059358 0.080264 0.106005 0.136301 0.170335 0.210981
2025-05-25 0.036280 0.055377 0.078552 0.107852 0.143083 0.183349 0.232136
2025-06-01 0.030015 0.049322 0.073650 0.105276 0.144145 0.189337 0.244873
2025-06-08 0.024916 0.044155 0.069321 0.102921 0.145064 0.194833 0.256767
2025-06-15 0.022427 0.042236 0.068920 0.105275 0.151564 0.206850 0.276271
2025-06-22 0.019832 0.039854 0.067665 0.106340 0.156320 0.216675 0.293121
2025-06-29 0.018679 0.039464 0.069011 0.110723 0.165208 0.231521 0.316026
2025-07-06 0.016496 0.037239 0.067626 0.111345 0.169217 0.240332 0.331626
2025-07-13 0.016770 0.038940 0.071826 0.119508 0.182967 0.261245 0.362030
2025-07-20 0.014030 0.035547 0.068701 0.117890 0.184385 0.267319 0.374996
2025-07-27 0.012850 0.034699 0.069285 0.121415 0.192632 0.282110 0.398925
2025-08-03 0.010783 0.031976 0.066841 0.120559 0.195003 0.289459 0.413683
2025-08-10 0.009734 0.030995 0.066982 0.123301 0.202140 0.302857 0.435983
2025-08-17 0.008661 0.029800 0.066674 0.125322 0.208260 0.314943 0.456663
2025-08-24 0.006877 0.026792 0.063190 0.122493 0.207618 0.318204 0.466169
2025-08-31 0.005401 0.024109 0.060001 0.119906 0.207158 0.321592 0.475757
2025-09-07 0.004842 0.023475 0.060258 0.122491 0.213872 0.334349 0.497261
2025-09-14 0.004162 0.022389 0.059629 0.123660 0.218569 0.344454 0.515406
2025-09-21 0.003979 0.022605 0.061336 0.128467 0.228436 0.361424 0.542400
2025-09-28 0.003360 0.021445 0.060446 0.129150 0.232414 0.370595 0.559413